![]() The NCFs are those functions of government and the private sector so vital to the U.S. Using the NCF Framework, the NRMC is working to understand what entities come together to support/enable critical functions, and what assets, systems, networks, and technologies underpin those functions. The Secure Tomorrow Series effort aligns with the National Critical Functions (NCFs) risk management framework which looks at improving resilience across the Nation’s critical infrastructure ecosystem in a more targeted, prioritized, and strategic manner. Instead, the methodology treats the future as a set of plausible alternatives. A central premise of strategic foresight is that no one entity can successfully predict the future. For CISA, this means a future in which critical infrastructure is more secure and resilient. The intent of strategic foresight is to identify actions that, if taken today, would steer a community or organization toward its preferred future. Strategic foresight is one of several terms (i.e., futures studies, futurology) used to describe the study of alternative futures by anticipating how various drivers-aging infrastructure, global pandemics, climate change, emerging technologies, and more-may impact how the world is changing. Managed by CISA’s National Risk Management Center, the goal of the Secure Tomorrow Series is to build understanding of challenges that may affect the strategic operating environment, identify potential risk mitigation strategies, and apply this knowledge to promote methods that create more resilient critical infrastructure systems in the long-term. To build a more resilient and secure future, the Secure Tomorrow Series is a strategic foresight capability focused on identifying emerging and evolving risks that could significantly affect the nation’s critical infrastructure in the next 5 to 20 years in order to analyze, prioritize, and manage those drivers of risk to steer towards a preferred future. Instead, exploring alternative futures and potential drivers of change is a potent technique for managing uncertainty and improving decision-making to enhance our national capacity to ensure security, economic vitality, and public health and safety. In a constantly changing and complex operating environment, perfectly accurate forecasts about the future are an impossibility. ![]()
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